Bedford Town host Buxton in the National League North on Tuesday 18 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Eyrie. Bedford Town are 10th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Buxton sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Bedford Town's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Darlington 1883 2–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Buxton's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Southport 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Buxton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Bedford Town and 1.9 for Buxton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bedford Town 16%, draw 25%, Buxton 59%.
Safer route: Buxton or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bedford Town 0–2 Buxton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bedford Town16%fair 6.23 · @4.33
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.70
Buxton59%fair 1.69 · @1.68
2.81Expected goals
0.91Bedford Town xG
1.90Buxton xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Bedford Town 0.9 – 1.9 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buxton to win✗
59%
1.69
1.68
Double chance
Buxton or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Buxton ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buxton / FT Buxton✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Bedford Town – last 6
LLLWWW
15 Aug
vs Darlington 1883
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Oxford City
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Kettering Town
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Walton & Hersham
2–0
W
14 Jul
vs Biggleswade
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Berkhamsted
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Buxton – last 6
DWWWWL
15 Aug
@ Southport
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Hereford
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Warrington Town
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Scunthorpe
2–0
W
10 Jul
vs Ashton United
1–0
W
7 Jul
vs SC Braga
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bedford Town and Buxton.
What is the prediction for Bedford Town vs Buxton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bedford Town vs Buxton?
On our numbers Bedford Town have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Buxton 59%.
How many goals will there be in Bedford Town vs Buxton?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bedford Town vs Buxton?
Our predicted score is Bedford Town 0–2 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bedford Town vs Buxton?
Bedford Town vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Eyrie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
