The National League North sees South Shields take on Chorley on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Mariners Park. South Shields are 1st with 32 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Chorley sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
South Shields's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Scarborough Athletic 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Chorley's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Chester 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
South Shields arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Chorley 1–1 South Shields.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for South Shields and 0.6 for Chorley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Shields 64%, draw 23%, Chorley 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: South Shields 1–0 Chorley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Shields64%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.90
Chorley12%fair 8.03 · @5.50
2.43Expected goals
1.79South Shields xG
0.65Chorley xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: South Shields 1.8 – 0.6 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for South Shields vs Chorley?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win South Shields vs Chorley?
On our numbers South Shields have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chorley 12%.
How many goals will there be in South Shields vs Chorley?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Shields vs Chorley?
Our predicted score is South Shields 1–0 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is South Shields vs Chorley?
South Shields vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mariners Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
