Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuxton to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Southport vs Buxton preview and prediction
The match
Buxton travel to Haig Avenue in the National League North on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT) to face Southport. Southport are 23rd with 10 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Buxton sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Southport's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Hebburn Town 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Buxton's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Hereford 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Buxton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 February 2026, finished Southport 0–0 Buxton.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Southport and 1.6 for Buxton. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Southport 36%, draw 23%, Buxton 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Southport 1–1 Buxton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southport36%fair 2.75 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Buxton41%fair 2.46 · @2.40
3.14Expected goals
1.52Southport xG
1.62Buxton xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Southport 1.5 – 1.6 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Southport vs Buxton?
On our numbers Southport have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Buxton 41%.
How many goals will there be in Southport vs Buxton?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southport vs Buxton?
Our predicted score is Southport 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Southport vs Buxton?
Southport vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Haig Avenue.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
