Harborough Town vs Morecambe preview and prediction
The match
Morecambe travel to face Harborough Town in the National League North on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT). Harborough Town are 19th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Morecambe sit 9th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Harborough Town's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with King's Lynn Town 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Morecambe's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Spennymoor Town 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Harborough Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Harborough Town and 1.1 for Morecambe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harborough Town 43%, draw 23%, Morecambe 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Harborough Town 1–1 Morecambe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harborough Town43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.45
Morecambe35%fair 2.87 · @2.95
2.43Expected goals
1.30Harborough Town xG
1.14Morecambe xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Harborough Town 1.3 – 1.1 Morecambe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harborough Town to win✓
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harborough Town / FT Harborough Town✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Form
Harborough Town – last 6
DWWDWW
8 Aug
@ King's Lynn Town
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Banbury United
5–1
W
3 Apr
@ St Ives Town
2–1
W
24 Mar
@ Real Bedford
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Bishop's Stortford
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Morecambe – last 6
DLDWDW
8 Aug
vs Spennymoor Town
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Barrow
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs AFC Fylde
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Bamber Bridge
3–0
W
6 Apr
vs Carlisle
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Rochdale
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harborough Town and Morecambe.
What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs Morecambe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Morecambe?
On our numbers Harborough Town have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Morecambe 35%.
How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs Morecambe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs Morecambe?
Our predicted score is Harborough Town 1–1 Morecambe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Harborough Town vs Morecambe?
Harborough Town vs Morecambe (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.