Value bet: Scarborough Athletic to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultScarborough Athletic to win ✓42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.16
Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Hednesford Town host Scarborough Athletic in the National League North on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Keys Park. Hednesford Town are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Scarborough Athletic sit 20th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Hednesford Town's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Merthyr Town 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Scarborough Athletic's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to South Shields 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hednesford Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Hednesford Town and 1.1 for Scarborough Athletic. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 56% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hednesford Town 35%, draw 23%, Scarborough Athletic 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Scarborough Athletic to win at 2.75 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.31, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hednesford Town 1–1 Scarborough Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hednesford Town35%fair 2.82 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Scarborough Athletic42%fair 2.38 · @2.75
2.14Expected goals
1.00Hednesford Town xG
1.13Scarborough Athletic xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Hednesford Town 1.0 – 1.1 Scarborough Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scarborough Athletic to win✓
42%
2.38
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scarborough Athletic / FT Scarborough Athletic✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.16
–
Form
Hednesford Town – last 6
LWLWWW
8 Aug
@ Merthyr Town
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Boston United
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Solihull Moors
1–2
L
28 Apr
vs Stockton Town
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ United of Manchester
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Prescot Cables
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Scarborough Athletic – last 6
LLLLWW
8 Aug
vs South Shields
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Barnsley
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ Buxton
2–4
L
6 Apr
vs Spennymoor Town
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Darlington 1883
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hednesford Town and Scarborough Athletic.
What is the prediction for Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
On our numbers Hednesford Town have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Scarborough Athletic 42%.
How many goals will there be in Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
Our predicted score is Hednesford Town 1–1 Scarborough Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Keys Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
