Value bet: Chester to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChester to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceChester or draw ✓88% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Chester vs King's Lynn Town preview and prediction
The match
Chester host King's Lynn Town in the National League North on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Deva Stadium. Chester are 8th with 26 points from 15 games (in the top half), while King's Lynn Town sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chester's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Chorley 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
King's Lynn Town's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Harborough Town 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chester arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Chester and 0.7 for King's Lynn Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chester 64%, draw 24%, King's Lynn Town 12%.
Safer route: Chester or draw (88%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Chester to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Chester 1–0 King's Lynn Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chester64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.45
King's Lynn Town12%fair 8.32 · @4.50
2.54Expected goals
1.86Chester xG
0.68King's Lynn Town xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Chester 1.9 – 0.7 King's Lynn Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chester to win✓
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Chester or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Chester ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chester / FT Chester✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Chester – last 6
WDWWLW
8 Aug
@ Chorley
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Crewe
0–0
D
28 Jul
@ Nantwich Town
3–0
W
24 Jul
@ Hyde United
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Stoke City
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Warrington Town
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
King's Lynn Town – last 6
DLLDWW
8 Aug
vs Harborough Town
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Norwich
0–2
L
6 Apr
vs Bedford Town
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Peterborough Sports
2–2
D
24 Mar
@ Leamington
5–2
W
17 Mar
vs South Shields
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chester and King's Lynn Town.
What is the prediction for Chester vs King's Lynn Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chester vs King's Lynn Town?
On our numbers Chester have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and King's Lynn Town 12%.
How many goals will there be in Chester vs King's Lynn Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chester vs King's Lynn Town?
Our predicted score is Chester 1–0 King's Lynn Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chester vs King's Lynn Town?
Chester vs King's Lynn Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Deva Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
