Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Morecambe to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMorecambe to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceMorecambe or draw ✓89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town preview and prediction
The match
Morecambe host Spennymoor Town in the National League North on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Mazuma Stadium. Morecambe are 9th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Spennymoor Town sit 24th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Morecambe's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Barrow 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Spennymoor Town's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Gateshead 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Morecambe and 0.8 for Spennymoor Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Morecambe 67%, draw 23%, Spennymoor Town 11%.
Safer route: Morecambe or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Morecambe to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Morecambe 2–0 Spennymoor Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morecambe67%fair 1.50 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.85
Spennymoor Town11%fair 9.39 · @4.60
3.08Expected goals
2.23Morecambe xG
0.85Spennymoor Town xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Morecambe 2.2 – 0.8 Spennymoor Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morecambe to win✗
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Morecambe or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Half-time result
Morecambe ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morecambe / FT Morecambe✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.72
–
Form
Morecambe – last 6
LDWDWL
1 Aug
vs Barrow
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs AFC Fylde
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Bamber Bridge
3–0
W
6 Apr
vs Carlisle
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Rochdale
4–2
W
25 Mar
vs Hartlepool
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spennymoor Town – last 6
WLLLDW
1 Aug
vs Gateshead
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs FC Halifax Town
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs Hartlepool
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Scarborough Athletic
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs South Shields
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Kidderminster Harriers
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morecambe and Spennymoor Town.
What is the prediction for Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town?
Our pick is Morecambe to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town?
On our numbers Morecambe have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spennymoor Town 11%.
How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town?
Our predicted score is Morecambe 2–0 Spennymoor Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town?
Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
