Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Buxton to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBuxton to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.16
Buxton vs Hereford preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Buxton take on Hereford on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Silverlands. Buxton are 7th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Hereford sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Buxton's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Warrington Town 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Hereford's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Bromsgrove Sporting 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Buxton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Buxton and 1.1 for Hereford. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buxton 58%, draw 17%, Hereford 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Buxton to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Buxton 1–1 Hereford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buxton58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @3.65
Hereford25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
3.01Expected goals
1.88Buxton xG
1.13Hereford xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Buxton 1.9 – 1.1 Hereford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buxton to win✓
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Buxton ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buxton / FT Buxton✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.16
–
Form
Buxton – last 6
WWWLWD
1 Aug
@ Warrington Town
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Scunthorpe
2–0
W
10 Jul
vs Ashton United
1–0
W
7 Jul
vs SC Braga
1–3
L
28 Apr
vs Scarborough Athletic
4–2
W
14 Apr
@ Alfreton Town
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hereford – last 6
WDLLDW
1 Aug
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Shrewsbury
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Solihull Moors
0–3
L
17 Jul
@ Bishop's Cleeve
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Hereford Pegasus
1–1
D
21 Apr
vs Marine
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buxton and Hereford.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Buxton vs Hereford?
On our numbers Buxton have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hereford 25%.
How many goals will there be in Buxton vs Hereford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buxton vs Hereford?
Our predicted score is Buxton 1–1 Hereford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Buxton vs Hereford?
Buxton vs Hereford (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Silverlands.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
