Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 55% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +98%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗55% · @3.60
Double chanceHebburn Town or draw ✓78% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Hebburn Town vs Southport preview and prediction
The match
Southport travel to The Trustmark Group Stadium in the National League North on Saturday 8 August (15:00 WAT) to face Hebburn Town. Hebburn Town are 15th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Southport sit 23rd on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Hebburn Town's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Blyth Spartans 4–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Southport's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Wigan 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Hebburn Town and 1.4 for Southport. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hebburn Town 23%, draw 55%, Southport 22%.
Safer route: Hebburn Town or draw (78%) at 1.42.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Draw at 3.60 – 55% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hebburn Town or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.28, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hebburn Town 1–1 Southport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hebburn Town23%fair 4.38 · @2.38
Draw55%fair 1.82 · @3.60
Southport22%fair 4.52 · @2.50
2.87Expected goals
1.44Hebburn Town xG
1.43Southport xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hebburn Town 1.4 – 1.4 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.82
3.60 ▲
Double chance
Hebburn Town or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.42 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hebburn Town / FT Hebburn Town✓
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
Hebburn Town – last 6
WLWWWD
1 Aug
@ Blyth Spartans
4–2
W
21 Jul
vs Hartlepool
2–3
L
14 Jul
vs Gateshead
4–3
W
6 Apr
vs Stockton Town
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Stocksbridge Park Steels
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Leek Town
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Southport – last 6
DWLLWW
31 Jul
vs Wigan
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs United of Manchester
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
21 Apr
@ Macclesfield
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Curzon Ashton
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Marine
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hebburn Town and Southport.
What is the prediction for Hebburn Town vs Southport?
Our pick is Hebburn Town or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Southport?
On our numbers Hebburn Town have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Southport 22%.
How many goals will there be in Hebburn Town vs Southport?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hebburn Town vs Southport?
Our predicted score is Hebburn Town 1–1 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hebburn Town vs Southport?
Hebburn Town vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Trustmark Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
