The National League North sees Chorley take on Chester on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Victory Park. Chorley are 13th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Chester sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chorley's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Trafford 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chester's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Crewe 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chester arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Chorley and 1.3 for Chester. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chorley 39%, draw 23%, Chester 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chorley 1–1 Chester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chorley39%fair 2.57 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
Chester38%fair 2.61 · @2.50
2.53Expected goals
1.27Chorley xG
1.26Chester xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Chorley 1.3 – 1.3 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chorley to win✗
39%
2.57
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chorley / FT Chorley✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.87
–
Form
Chorley – last 6
LLDLLW
28 Jul
@ Trafford
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Accrington ST
0–3
L
21 Jul
vs Altrincham
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Bury
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Marine
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs AFC Fylde
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chester – last 6
DWWLWW
1 Aug
vs Crewe
0–0
D
28 Jul
@ Nantwich Town
3–0
W
24 Jul
@ Hyde United
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Stoke City
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Warrington Town
2–0
W
14 Jul
vs Fleetwood Town
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Chester.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chorley vs Chester?
On our numbers Chorley have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chester 38%.
How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Chester?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Chester?
Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 Chester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chorley vs Chester?
Chorley vs Chester (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
