Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarlisle to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.31
Eastleigh vs Carlisle preview and prediction
The match
Eastleigh host Carlisle in the National League on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Silverlake Stadium. Eastleigh are 17th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Carlisle sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Eastleigh's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Sutton Utd 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Carlisle's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Forest Green 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Eastleigh and 2.1 for Carlisle. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Carlisle to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Carlisle or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Eastleigh 0–2 Carlisle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eastleigh14%fair 6.99 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.75
Carlisle65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
3.06Expected goals
0.92Eastleigh xG
2.14Carlisle xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Eastleigh 0.9 – 2.1 Carlisle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✗
65%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Carlisle or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.31
–
Form
Eastleigh – last 6
LDLDWW
15 Sep
@ Sutton Utd
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Boreham Wood
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Aldershot Town
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Hartlepool
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Carlisle – last 6
DDLWDW
15 Sep
vs Forest Green
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Southend
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
4–2
W
28 Aug
@ Wealdstone
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs AFC Hornchurch
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eastleigh and Carlisle.
Our pick is Carlisle or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Carlisle?
On our numbers Eastleigh have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Carlisle 65%.
How many goals will there be in Eastleigh vs Carlisle?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eastleigh vs Carlisle?
Our predicted score is Eastleigh 0–2 Carlisle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Eastleigh vs Carlisle?
Eastleigh vs Carlisle (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Silverlake Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
