Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Boreham Wood or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Boreham Wood to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoreham Wood to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceBoreham Wood or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town preview and prediction
The match
Boreham Wood host Harrogate Town in the National League on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Meadow Park. Boreham Wood are 1st with 44 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Harrogate Town sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Boreham Wood's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Scunthorpe 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Harrogate Town's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to AFC Fylde 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Boreham Wood arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.5 for Boreham Wood and 1.2 for Harrogate Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boreham Wood 65%, draw 19%, Harrogate Town 15%.
Safer route: Boreham Wood or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Boreham Wood to win at 1.67 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Boreham Wood or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Boreham Wood 2–1 Harrogate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boreham Wood65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.00
Harrogate Town15%fair 6.47 · @4.00
3.75Expected goals
2.54Boreham Wood xG
1.21Harrogate Town xG
67%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Boreham Wood 2.5 – 1.2 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boreham Wood to win✓
65%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Boreham Wood or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Boreham Wood ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boreham Wood / FT Boreham Wood✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Boreham Wood – last 6
WDWWWW
16 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Eastleigh
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Carlisle
2–1
W
31 Aug
@ Worthing
3–2
W
27 Aug
vs Boston United
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Harrogate Town – last 6
LWWWLD
15 Sep
vs AFC Fylde
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Tamworth
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Gateshead
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Aldershot Town
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Barrow
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boreham Wood and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Boreham Wood or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Boreham Wood have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Harrogate Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Boreham Wood 2–1 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town?
Boreham Wood vs Harrogate Town (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
