Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Barrow to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarrow to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceBarrow or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.29
Barrow vs Aldershot Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Barrow take on Aldershot Town on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Holker Street. Barrow are 9th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Aldershot Town sit 14th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Barrow's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Solihull Moors 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Aldershot Town's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Yeovil Town 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Aldershot Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Barrow and 0.7 for Aldershot Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barrow 62%, draw 25%, Aldershot Town 13%.
Safer route: Barrow or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Barrow to win at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barrow or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barrow 1–0 Aldershot Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barrow62%fair 1.62 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
Aldershot Town13%fair 7.74 · @3.80
2.38Expected goals
1.72Barrow xG
0.66Aldershot Town xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.7 – 0.7 Aldershot Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win✓
62%
1.62
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Barrow or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Barrow ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.29
–
Form
Barrow – last 6
LDWDLD
15 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Worthing
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Sutton Utd
3–0
W
31 Aug
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Yeovil Town
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aldershot Town – last 6
DWLWDW
15 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
2–1
W
8 Sep
vs West Ham United U21
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Halifax Town
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Eastleigh
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Harrogate Town
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Aldershot Town.
What is the prediction for Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
Our pick is Barrow or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
On our numbers Barrow have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aldershot Town 13%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–0 Aldershot Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
Barrow vs Aldershot Town (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
