Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartlepool to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Hartlepool vs Worthing preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Hartlepool take on Worthing on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Victoria Park. Hartlepool are 21st with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Worthing sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hartlepool's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Altrincham 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Worthing's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat AFC Hornchurch 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Worthing arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Hartlepool and 1.3 for Worthing. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Hartlepool 1–1 Worthing. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartlepool41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Worthing37%fair 2.74 · @2.88
2.63Expected goals
1.36Hartlepool xG
1.27Worthing xG
62%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.4 – 1.3 Worthing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✗
41%
2.44
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Hartlepool – last 6
LLLWLL
16 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Everton U21
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Woking
1–0
W
1 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Eastleigh
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Worthing – last 6
WDDDLL
15 Sep
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Barrow
2–2
D
8 Sep
vs Norwich City U21
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ AFC Fylde
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Boreham Wood
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Tamworth
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Worthing.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Worthing?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Worthing?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Worthing 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Worthing?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Worthing?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 Worthing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Worthing?
Hartlepool vs Worthing (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
