Value bet: Tamworth to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTamworth to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.93
Tamworth vs Wealdstone preview and prediction
The match
The National League sees Tamworth take on Wealdstone on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at The Lamb Ground. Tamworth are 20th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Wealdstone sit 18th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tamworth's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Southend 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Wealdstone's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to FC Halifax Town 0–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Wealdstone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Wealdstone 3–2 Tamworth.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Tamworth and 1.4 for Wealdstone. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Tamworth to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tamworth 2–1 Wealdstone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tamworth59%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.57 · @3.60
Wealdstone25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
3.69Expected goals
2.28Tamworth xG
1.41Wealdstone xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–06%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tamworth 2.3 – 1.4 Wealdstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
On our numbers Tamworth have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Wealdstone 25%.
How many goals will there be in Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
Our predicted score is Tamworth 2–1 Wealdstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
Tamworth vs Wealdstone (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Lamb Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
