Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Sociedad to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Toulouse vs Real Sociedad preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Toulouse take on Real Sociedad on Friday 31 July, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Toulouse's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Rodez 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Real Sociedad's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Aston Villa 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Real Sociedad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Toulouse and 1.7 for Real Sociedad. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toulouse 34%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Toulouse 1–1 Real Sociedad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toulouse34%fair 2.96 · @2.66
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.60
Real Sociedad44%fair 2.28 · @2.40
3.06Expected goals
1.36Toulouse xG
1.70Real Sociedad xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Toulouse 1.4 – 1.7 Real Sociedad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-6%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.43
1.89
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad to win✗
44%
2.28
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad / FT Real Sociedad✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Form
Toulouse – last 6
DLLLWL
25 Jul
vs Rodez
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ Lens
1–4
L
17 Apr
@ Lens
2–3
L
3 Apr
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Metz
4–3
W
15 Feb
@ Le Havre
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad – last 6
WWDLLD
28 Jul
@ Aston Villa
4–2
W
25 Jul
@ Wolves
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Racing Santander
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs PAU
0–1
L
17 May
vs Valencia
3–4
L
14 May
@ Girona
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toulouse and Real Sociedad.
What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
On our numbers Toulouse have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Sociedad 44%.
How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
Our predicted score is Toulouse 1–1 Real Sociedad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
Toulouse vs Real Sociedad (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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