Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbacete to win ✗51% · @1.80
Double chanceAlbacete or draw ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Albacete vs Real Madrid II preview and prediction
The match
Albacete host Real Madrid II in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 31 July, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Albacete's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Leganes 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Real Madrid II's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Sabadell 0–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Albacete and 0.9 for Real Madrid II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 55% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albacete 51%, draw 26%, Real Madrid II 23%.
Safer route: Albacete or draw (77%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Albacete 1–0 Real Madrid II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albacete51%fair 1.96 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.50
Real Madrid II23%fair 4.39 · @3.85
2.20Expected goals
1.26Albacete xG
0.94Real Madrid II xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Albacete 1.3 – 0.9 Real Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Albacete
Real Madrid II
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-21%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.12
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albacete to win✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Double chance
Albacete or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albacete / FT Albacete✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
Albacete – last 6
DLWWLD
17 Jul
@ Leganes
0–0
D
30 May
@ AD Ceuta FC
0–1
L
24 May
vs Real Sociedad II
3–1
W
1 May
@ FC Andorra
1–0
W
24 Apr
vs Eibar
0–3
L
31 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Madrid II – last 6
LWDWLL
5 Jun
@ Sabadell
0–3
L
29 May
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
14 Apr
vs Ourense CF
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Celta de Vigo II
5–1
W
27 Mar
@ Barakaldo
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albacete and Real Madrid II.
What is the prediction for Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
On our numbers Albacete have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Madrid II 23%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
Our predicted score is Albacete 1–0 Real Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
Albacete vs Real Madrid II (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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