Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
O3.5
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Köln to win ✗51% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 17.13
1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC preview and prediction
The match
Hertha BSC travel to face 1. FC Köln in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 31 July (11:00 WAT).
Form guide
1. FC Köln's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Bergisch Gladbach 8–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Hertha BSC's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Mamelodi Sundowns 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 5.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 2.4 for 1. FC Köln and 2.3 for Hertha BSC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 73% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 1.70 – 63% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: 1. FC Köln 2–2 Hertha BSC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
1. FC Köln51%fair 1.97 · @1.84
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.30
Hertha BSC30%fair 3.37 · @3.40
4.78Expected goals
2.431. FC Köln xG
2.34Hertha BSC xG
73%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–16%
1–26%
3–26%
2–35%
1–15%
From our goals model: 1. FC Köln 2.4 – 2.3 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
1. FC Köln
Hertha BSC
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+46%
+84%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.96
2.34
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Köln to win✗
51%
1.97
1.84
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Half-time result
1. FC Köln ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Köln / FT 1. FC Köln✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
17.13
–
Form
1. FC Köln – last 5
WDDLD
23 Jul
@ Bergisch Gladbach
8–0
W
17 Apr
@ FC St. Pauli
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ FC Augsburg
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
D
2.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 6
DLWWWL
21 Jul
vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ WSG Wattens
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Lokomotive Leipzig
3–1
W
8 Jul
@ Lichtenberg
9–0
W
4 Jul
@ Frohnauer
15–0
W
17 May
@ Arminia Bielefeld
1–6
L
5.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Köln and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers 1. FC Köln have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hertha BSC 30%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Köln 2–2 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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