Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Alaves vs Castellón preview and prediction
The match
Castellón travel to face Alaves in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 31 July (09:30 WAT).
Form guide
Alaves's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Girona 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Castellón's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Girona 3–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Alaves and 1.0 for Castellón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alaves 57%, draw 23%, Castellón 20%.
Safer route: Alaves or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alaves to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Alaves 1–0 Castellón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alaves57%fair 1.76 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.50
Castellón20%fair 4.95 · @4.00
2.81Expected goals
1.77Alaves xG
1.04Castellón xG
48%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Alaves 1.8 – 1.0 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Alaves
Castellón
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-4%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.09
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alaves to win✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Double chance
Alaves or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alaves / FT Alaves✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Alaves – last 6
WDWWDL
25 Jul
@ Girona
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Eibar
1–1
D
17 May
@ Oviedo
1–0
W
13 May
vs Barcelona
1–0
W
9 May
@ Elche
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Castellón – last 6
DWWLDW
29 Jul
@ Girona
3–3
D
25 Jul
@ Valencia
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
9 Jun
@ Almeria
2–3
L
6 Jun
vs Almeria
1–1
D
31 May
vs Eibar
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alaves and Castellón.
Our pick is Alaves to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Alaves vs Castellón?
On our numbers Alaves have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Castellón 20%.
How many goals will there be in Alaves vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Castellón?
Our predicted score is Alaves 1–0 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alaves vs Castellón?
Alaves vs Castellón (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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