FAW Championship · WalesYnyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC prediction & analysis
Ynyshir Albions to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ynyshir Albions 2.2 – 0.8 llanelli AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ynyshir Albions are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 13% for llanelli AFC.
Ynyshir Albions have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. llanelli AFC have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded. Ynyshir Albions come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.2 for Ynyshir Albions, 0.8 for llanelli AFC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Ynyshir Albions to win at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.42.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ynyshir Albions to win ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | Ynyshir Albions or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.53 | – |
| Half-time result | Ynyshir Albions ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ynyshir Albions / FT Ynyshir Albions ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.09 | – |
Form
Ynyshir Albions – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Treowen Stars | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Trethomas Bluebirds | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Carmarthen Town | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Afan Lido | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Newport City | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Caerphilly Athletic | 1–2 | L |
llanelli AFC – last 6
| 2 Oct | vs Baglan Dragons | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Llantwit Major | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Caerau (Ely) | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Treowen Stars | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Aberystwyth Town | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Carmarthen Town | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ynyshir Albions and llanelli AFC.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
More FAW Championship predictions
League hub
Brickfield Rangers0
Mold Alexandra4
Gresford Athletic0
Porthmadog1
Guilsfield0
Denbigh Town2
Llanuwchllyn4
Penrhyncoch1
Newtown AFC0
Bangor City 1876 FC0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC?
Our pick is Ynyshir Albions to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC?
On our numbers Ynyshir Albions have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and llanelli AFC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC?
Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.