Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 10 Oct 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultPorthmadog to win ✓60% · @1.62

Double chancePorthmadog or draw ✓80% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.42

Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog preview and prediction

The match

Gresford Athletic host Porthmadog in the FAW Championship on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Gresford Athletic are 15th with 7 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Porthmadog sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Gresford Athletic's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Penrhyncoch 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Porthmadog's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Bangor City 1876 FC 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Porthmadog arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Gresford Athletic and 1.9 for Porthmadog. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Gresford Athletic 20%, draw 20%, Porthmadog 60%.
Safer route: Porthmadog or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Gresford Athletic 1–1 Porthmadog. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Gresford Athletic20%fair 5.04 · @4.20

Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.75

Porthmadog60%fair 1.67 · @1.62

2.89Expected goals

0.98Gresford Athletic xG

1.91Porthmadog xG

63%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–111%

1–110%

0–210%

1–210%

0–36%

1–36%

From our goals model: Gresford Athletic 1.0 – 1.9 Porthmadog expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Porthmadog to win ✓	60%	1.67	1.62
Double chance	Porthmadog or draw ✓	80%	1.25	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.59	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Porthmadog ahead at half-time ✓	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Porthmadog / FT Porthmadog ✓	37%	2.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✓	11%	9.42	–

Form

Gresford Athletic – last 6

WWDLLL

3 Oct	@ Penrhyncoch	1–0	W
26 Sep	vs Rhyl	3–1	W
12 Sep	@ Guilsfield	1–1	D
6 Sep	vs Mold Alexandra	1–5	L
31 Aug	@ Llanuwchllyn	0–2	L
21 Aug	@ Bala Town	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Porthmadog – last 6

WWWLDL

3 Oct	vs Bangor City 1876 FC	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ Newtown AFC	1–0	W
12 Sep	vs Ruthin Town	3–0	W
5 Sep	vs Bala Town	1–2	L
31 Aug	@ Holyhead Hotspur	2–2	D
28 Aug	vs Caersws	1–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

On our numbers Gresford Athletic have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Porthmadog 60%.

How many goals will there be in Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

Our predicted score is Gresford Athletic 1–1 Porthmadog, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes