Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarmarthen Town to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town preview and prediction
The match
Cardiff Draconians host Carmarthen Town in the FAW Championship on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Cardiff Draconians are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Carmarthen Town sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cardiff Draconians's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Newport City 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Carmarthen Town's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Llantwit Major 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Cardiff Draconians and 1.8 for Carmarthen Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cardiff Draconians 36%, draw 21%, Carmarthen Town 43%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cardiff Draconians 1–2 Carmarthen Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff Draconians36%fair 2.78 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.75
Carmarthen Town43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
3.49Expected goals
1.66Cardiff Draconians xG
1.83Carmarthen Town xG
55%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.7 – 1.8 Carmarthen Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carmarthen Town to win✗
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carmarthen Town / FT Carmarthen Town✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.78
–
Form
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
DLWWLD
3 Oct
vs Newport City
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Caerau (Ely)
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Baglan Dragons
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs llanelli AFC
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Pontypridd Town
1–4
L
7 Aug
@ Caerphilly Athletic
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Carmarthen Town – last 6
LWDLDL
2 Oct
vs Llantwit Major
1–2
L
25 Sep
@ Baglan Dragons
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ llanelli AFC
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Treowen Stars
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Carmarthen Town.
What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Carmarthen Town 43%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
Our predicted score is Cardiff Draconians 1–2 Carmarthen Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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