Wednesday, 11 November 2026 2 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
FAW Championship · Wales

Baglan Dragons

WLLWL
1–1
FT

Pontypridd Town

WLWLD

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town prediction & analysis

57%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPontypridd Town to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town preview and prediction

The match

Pontypridd Town travel to face Baglan Dragons in the FAW Championship on Saturday 10 October (14:30 WAT). Baglan Dragons are 5th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Pontypridd Town sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).

Form guide

Baglan Dragons's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat llanelli AFC 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Pontypridd Town's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Llantwit Major 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Pontypridd Town 2–0 Baglan Dragons.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Baglan Dragons and 1.7 for Pontypridd Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Baglan Dragons 1–2 Pontypridd Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Baglan Dragons35%fair 2.87 · @2.70
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60
Pontypridd Town46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
3.05Expected goals
1.40Baglan Dragons xG
1.65Pontypridd Town xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 1.4 – 1.7 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPontypridd Town to win ✗46%2.182.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.07–

Form

Baglan Dragons – last 6

WLLWLW
2 Oct@ llanelli AFC2–1W
25 Sepvs Carmarthen Town1–2L
12 Sep@ Cardiff Draconians1–2L
4 Sepvs Afan Lido2–1W
31 Augvs Caerphilly Athletic0–1L
28 Augvs Caerau (Ely)3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Pontypridd Town – last 6

WLWLDW
6 Octvs Llantwit Major4–1W
3 Octvs Aberystwyth Town1–3L
25 Sep@ Caerphilly Athletic2–1W
11 Sepvs Afan Lido0–1L
28 Aug@ Swansea University4–4D
21 Augvs Trethomas Bluebirds2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Pontypridd Town v Baglan Dragons2–0
Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Brickfield Rangers0 Mold Alexandra4 162%1.85X15%3.80223%3.20 1Brickfield Rangers to win 62%@1.85 ✗
FT Gresford Athletic0 Porthmadog1 120%4.20X20%3.75260%1.62 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Guilsfield0 Denbigh Town2 159%1.73X24%3.60217%3.75 1XGuilsfield or draw 83%@1.22 ✗
FT Llanuwchllyn4 Penrhyncoch1 165%1.55X16%4.33219%4.20 1Llanuwchllyn to win 65%@1.55 ✓
FT Newtown AFC0 Bangor City 1876 FC0 163%1.50X19%3.90218%4.80 1Newtown AFC to win 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Aberystwyth Town0 Caerau (Ely)1 146%2.20X19%3.60235%2.60 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.62 ✗
FT Cardiff Draconians2 Carmarthen Town2 136%2.55X21%3.75243%2.20 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✓
FT Ynyshir Albions6 llanelli AFC2 170%1.42X17%4.50213%5.25 1Ynyshir Albions to win 70%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?

On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pontypridd Town 46%.

How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?

Our predicted score is Baglan Dragons 1–2 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.