FAW Championship · Wales · Latham ParkNewtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC prediction & analysis
Newtown AFC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Newtown AFC 2.2 – 1.1 Bangor City 1876 FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Newtown AFC are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 18% for Bangor City 1876 FC.
Newtown AFC have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.3 per game. Bangor City 1876 FC have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded. Newtown AFC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.2 for Newtown AFC, 1.1 for Bangor City 1876 FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Newtown AFC to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.58.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Newtown AFC to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Newtown AFC or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.63 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Half-time result | Newtown AFC ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.15 | – |
Form
Newtown AFC – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Mold Alexandra | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Porthmadog | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Holyhead Hotspur | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Denbigh Town | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Bala Town | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Llanuwchllyn | 4–0 | W |
Bangor City 1876 FC – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Porthmadog | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Buckley Town | 2–6 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Penrhyncoch | 5–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Rhyl | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Mold Alexandra | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Brickfield Rangers | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newtown AFC and Bangor City 1876 FC.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
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llanelli AFC2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
Our pick is Newtown AFC to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bangor City 1876 FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC?
Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Latham Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.