Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPenybont to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chancePenybont or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Penybont vs Barry Town preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Penybont take on Barry Town on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Bryntirion Park. Penybont are 3rd with 36 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Barry Town sit 7th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Penybont's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to GAP Connah S Quay FC 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Barry Town's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Caernarfon Town 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Penybont arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Penybont 0–2 Barry Town. Across their last 2 meetings Penybont have won 0, Barry Town 2, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Penybont and 1.2 for Barry Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penybont 58%, draw 21%, Barry Town 20%.
Safer route: Penybont or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Penybont or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Penybont 2–1 Barry Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penybont58%fair 1.71 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Barry Town20%fair 4.88 · @4.00
3.29Expected goals
2.11Penybont xG
1.18Barry Town xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Penybont 2.1 – 1.2 Barry Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Barry Town?
Our pick is Penybont or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Penybont vs Barry Town?
On our numbers Penybont have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barry Town 20%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Barry Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Barry Town?
Our predicted score is Penybont 2–1 Barry Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Barry Town?
Penybont vs Barry Town (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
