Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Caernarfon Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceCaernarfon Town or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.98
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town preview and prediction
The match
Haverfordwest County AFC host Caernarfon Town in the Premier League on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Bridge Meadow Stadium. Haverfordwest County AFC are 11th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Caernarfon Town sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Haverfordwest County AFC's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Flint Town United 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Caernarfon Town's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Barry Town 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Caernarfon Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Haverfordwest County AFC and 2.2 for Caernarfon Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haverfordwest County AFC 12%, draw 23%, Caernarfon Town 65%.
Safer route: Caernarfon Town or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Caernarfon Town to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Haverfordwest County AFC 0–2 Caernarfon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haverfordwest County AFC12%fair 8.16 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.70
Caernarfon Town65%fair 1.55 · @1.65
3.04Expected goals
0.88Haverfordwest County AFC xG
2.16Caernarfon Town xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Haverfordwest County AFC 0.9 – 2.2 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✓
65%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Caernarfon Town or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.98
–
Form
Haverfordwest County AFC – last 6
LLLWWD
3 Oct
vs Flint Town United
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Cardiff MET
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Colwyn Bay
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs Holywell
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
3–1
W
4 Sep
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Caernarfon Town – last 6
LDWDWW
3 Oct
vs Barry Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Cardiff MET
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–1
W
15 Sep
@ Llandudno
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Ammanford AFC
5–0
W
4 Sep
vs Flint Town United
3–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haverfordwest County AFC and Caernarfon Town.
What is the prediction for Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Caernarfon Town to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers Haverfordwest County AFC have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Caernarfon Town 65%.
How many goals will there be in Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is Haverfordwest County AFC 0–2 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town?
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bridge Meadow Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
