Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓62% · @1.53
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC preview and prediction
The match
GAP Connah S Quay FC travel to Old Road in the Premier League on Friday 9 October (19:45 WAT) to face Briton Ferry. Briton Ferry are 12th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Briton Ferry's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Colwyn Bay 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Penybont 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
GAP Connah S Quay FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Briton Ferry and 1.9 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Briton Ferry 17%, draw 21%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GAP Connah S Quay FC to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Briton Ferry 0–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Briton Ferry17%fair 5.93 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.90
GAP Connah S Quay FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.53
2.79Expected goals
0.88Briton Ferry xG
1.91GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Briton Ferry 0.9 – 1.9 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Double chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.52
–
Form
Briton Ferry – last 6
WDDLLL
3 Oct
vs Colwyn Bay
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Penybont
2–3
L
11 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–3
L
4 Sep
vs Airbus UK
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
WWWWLD
3 Oct
vs Penybont
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Barry Town
4–1
W
18 Sep
vs Cardiff MET
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Airbus UK
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ Colwyn Bay
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Briton Ferry and GAP Connah S Quay FC.
What is the prediction for Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our pick is GAP Connah S Quay FC to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
On our numbers Briton Ferry have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 62%.
How many goals will there be in Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our predicted score is Briton Ferry 0–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Old Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
