Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11% · fair 9.46
Holywell vs The New Saints preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Holywell take on The New Saints on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Bartons North Wales Stadium. Holywell are 16th with 2 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while The New Saints sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). A gap of 42 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Holywell's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Ammanford AFC 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
The New Saints's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Cambrian & Clydach 9–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
The New Saints arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 0.7 for Holywell and 3.2 for The New Saints. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Holywell 6%, draw 10%, The New Saints 85%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.40, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Holywell 1–3 The New Saints. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holywell6%fair 17.04 · @126.00
Draw10%fair 10.40 · @13.00
The New Saints85%fair 1.18 · @1.04
3.92Expected goals
0.75Holywell xG
3.17The New Saints xG
51%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–311%
0–210%
0–48%
1–38%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Holywell 0.7 – 3.2 The New Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
85%
1.18
1.04
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✗
62%
1.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
11%
9.46
–
Form
Holywell – last 6
LDLLLD
3 Oct
@ Ammanford AFC
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
0–5
L
11 Sep
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
The New Saints – last 6
WWWWWW
3 Oct
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–0
W
26 Sep
@ Trefelin
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
15 Sep
vs Flint Town United
5–0
W
11 Sep
@ Airbus UK
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Barry Town
1–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holywell and The New Saints.
What is the prediction for Holywell vs The New Saints?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.40.
Who will win Holywell vs The New Saints?
On our numbers Holywell have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 10% and The New Saints 85%.
How many goals will there be in Holywell vs The New Saints?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holywell vs The New Saints?
Our predicted score is Holywell 1–3 The New Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Holywell vs The New Saints?
Holywell vs The New Saints (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bartons North Wales Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
