Trefelin travel to Cyncoed Campus in the Premier League on Friday 9 October (19:45 WAT) to face Cardiff MET. Cardiff MET are 8th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Trefelin sit 15th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cardiff MET's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Llandudno 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Trefelin's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Airbus UK 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Cardiff MET arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Cardiff MET and 0.7 for Trefelin. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cardiff MET 71%, draw 21%, Trefelin 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cardiff MET to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Cardiff MET 2–0 Trefelin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff MET71%fair 1.41 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @5.00
Trefelin8%fair 12.77 · @8.50
2.96Expected goals
2.26Cardiff MET xG
0.70Trefelin xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cardiff MET 2.3 – 0.7 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff MET to win✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Double chance
Cardiff MET or draw✗
92%
1.08
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Cardiff MET ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff MET / FT Cardiff MET✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.53
–
Form
Cardiff MET – last 6
WWDLDD
3 Oct
@ Llandudno
1–0
W
29 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Caernarfon Town
2–2
D
18 Sep
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Flint Town United
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
LLDLLD
3 Oct
@ Airbus UK
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs The New Saints
1–3
L
18 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
11 Sep
vs Penybont
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff MET and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Cardiff MET to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Cardiff MET have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Trefelin 8%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Cardiff MET 2–0 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
Cardiff MET vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Cyncoed Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
