Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✗64% · @1.50
Double chanceCaernarfon Town or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town preview and prediction
The match
Caernarfon Town host Barry Town in the Premier League on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at The Oval. Caernarfon Town are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Barry Town sit 7th on 29 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Caernarfon Town's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Cardiff MET 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
Barry Town's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Caernarfon Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.8 for Caernarfon Town and 1.4 for Barry Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caernarfon Town 64%, draw 21%, Barry Town 15%.
Safer route: Caernarfon Town or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Caernarfon Town 2–1 Barry Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caernarfon Town64%fair 1.57 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.50
Barry Town15%fair 6.65 · @5.00
4.27Expected goals
2.82Caernarfon Town xG
1.45Barry Town xG
66%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–26%
1–16%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 2.8 – 1.4 Barry Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Double chance
Caernarfon Town or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.40
–
Form
Caernarfon Town – last 6
DWDWWL
26 Sep
@ Cardiff MET
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–1
W
15 Sep
@ Llandudno
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Ammanford AFC
5–0
W
4 Sep
vs Flint Town United
3–0
W
31 Aug
vs The New Saints
2–3
L
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Barry Town – last 6
LLDWLW
26 Sep
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–4
L
18 Sep
@ Colwyn Bay
2–5
L
15 Sep
vs Ammanford AFC
2–2
D
11 Sep
vs Llandudno
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ The New Saints
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Briton Ferry
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barry Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 2–1 Barry Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
