Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay preview and prediction
The match
Colwyn Bay travel to Old Road in the Premier League on Saturday 3 October (14:30 WAT) to face Briton Ferry. Briton Ferry are 12th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Colwyn Bay sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Briton Ferry's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Holywell 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Colwyn Bay's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Haverfordwest County AFC 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Colwyn Bay arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Briton Ferry and 2.1 for Colwyn Bay. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Briton Ferry 14%, draw 19%, Colwyn Bay 67%.
Safer route: Colwyn Bay or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Colwyn Bay to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Briton Ferry 0–2 Colwyn Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Briton Ferry14%fair 7.24 · @4.60
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.00
Colwyn Bay67%fair 1.50 · @1.62
2.95Expected goals
0.84Briton Ferry xG
2.11Colwyn Bay xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Briton Ferry 0.8 – 2.1 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colwyn Bay to win✗
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Colwyn Bay or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Colwyn Bay ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
Briton Ferry – last 6
DDLLLL
26 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Penybont
2–3
L
11 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–3
L
4 Sep
vs Airbus UK
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Barry Town
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Colwyn Bay – last 6
WWWWLW
26 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–0
W
18 Sep
vs Barry Town
5–2
W
15 Sep
@ Holywell
5–0
W
12 Sep
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Penybont
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Briton Ferry and Colwyn Bay.
What is the prediction for Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Colwyn Bay to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Briton Ferry have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Colwyn Bay 67%.
How many goals will there be in Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Briton Ferry 0–2 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Old Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
