Airbus UK host Trefelin in the Premier League on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at The Airfield. Airbus UK are 5th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Trefelin sit 15th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Airbus UK's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Penybont 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Trefelin's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to The New Saints 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Airbus UK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Airbus UK and 0.8 for Trefelin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Airbus UK 71%, draw 20%, Trefelin 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Airbus UK to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Airbus UK 2–0 Trefelin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Airbus UK71%fair 1.41 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.80
Trefelin9%fair 10.69 · @5.50
3.05Expected goals
2.30Airbus UK xG
0.75Trefelin xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Airbus UK 2.3 – 0.8 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Airbus UK to win✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Double chance
Airbus UK or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Airbus UK ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Airbus UK / FT Airbus UK✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.99
–
Form
Airbus UK – last 6
LWLLWW
26 Sep
@ Penybont
1–2
L
18 Sep
vs Flint Town United
4–1
W
15 Sep
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs The New Saints
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Holywell
6–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
LDLLDL
26 Sep
vs The New Saints
1–3
L
18 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
11 Sep
vs Penybont
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Airbus UK and Trefelin.
Our pick is Airbus UK to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Airbus UK vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Airbus UK have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trefelin 9%.
How many goals will there be in Airbus UK vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Airbus UK vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Airbus UK 2–0 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Airbus UK vs Trefelin?
Airbus UK vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at The Airfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
