Ammanford AFC host Holywell in the Premier League on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Ammanford Recreation Ground. Ammanford AFC are 14th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Holywell sit 16th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ammanford AFC's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Flint Town United 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Holywell's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Briton Ferry 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.8 for Ammanford AFC and 2.1 for Holywell. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ammanford AFC 32%, draw 21%, Holywell 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ammanford AFC 1–2 Holywell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ammanford AFC32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Holywell47%fair 2.14 · @2.20
3.91Expected goals
1.77Ammanford AFC xG
2.14Holywell xG
70%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Ammanford AFC 1.8 – 2.1 Holywell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holywell to win✗
47%
2.14
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.44
1.55 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Holywell ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holywell / FT Holywell✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.31
–
Form
Ammanford AFC – last 6
LLDLLL
26 Sep
@ Flint Town United
0–3
L
18 Sep
vs Penybont
1–5
L
15 Sep
@ Barry Town
2–2
D
11 Sep
vs Caernarfon Town
0–5
L
4 Sep
@ Llandudno
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Cardiff MET
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Holywell – last 6
DLLLDL
26 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
0–5
L
11 Sep
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Airbus UK
2–6
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ammanford AFC and Holywell.
What is the prediction for Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
On our numbers Ammanford AFC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Holywell 47%.
How many goals will there be in Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
Our predicted score is Ammanford AFC 1–2 Holywell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
Ammanford AFC vs Holywell (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
