Value bet: Santa Clara to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Braga to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Santa Clara vs SC Braga preview and prediction
The match
Santa Clara host SC Braga in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estádio de São Miguel. Santa Clara are 4th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while SC Braga sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Santa Clara's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Arouca 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SC Braga's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Estoril 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Santa Clara and 1.3 for SC Braga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Clara 33%, draw 23%, SC Braga 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Santa Clara to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santa Clara 1–1 SC Braga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Clara33%fair 3.01 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
SC Braga43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
2.45Expected goals
1.12Santa Clara xG
1.33SC Braga xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Santa Clara 1.1 – 1.3 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✗
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.72
–
Form
Santa Clara – last 6
WWDWWD
13 Sep
@ Arouca
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Rio Ave
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ Alverca
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Famalicao
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Academico Viseu
1–0
W
10 Aug
vs Nacional
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SC Braga – last 6
WLWWDW
14 Sep
vs Estoril
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Estrela
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Alverca
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Vitória SC
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Austria Vienna
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Austria Vienna
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara and SC Braga.
What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs SC Braga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Santa Clara vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Santa Clara have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SC Braga 43%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs SC Braga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs SC Braga?
Our predicted score is Santa Clara 1–1 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Santa Clara vs SC Braga?
Santa Clara vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Miguel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
