Primeira Liga · Portugal · Estadio Jose GomesEstrela vs Academico Viseu prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Estrela 2.0 – 1.5 Academico Viseu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Estrela hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 29% for Academico Viseu.
Estrela have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Academico Viseu have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.0 for Estrela, 1.5 for Academico Viseu). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Estrela to win ✗ | 48% | 2.06 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | Estrela ahead at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Estrela / FT Estrela ✗ | 30% | 3.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.09 | – |
Form
Estrela – last 6
| 14 Sep | @ Rio Ave | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Sep | vs SC Braga | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Famalicao | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Nacional | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Alverca | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Sporting CP | 2–2 | D |
Academico Viseu – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Vitória SC | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ GIL Vicente | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs FC Porto | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Maritimo | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Santa Clara | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Benfica | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela and Academico Viseu.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 11 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 11 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Nacional | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Maritimo | 10 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 11 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 |
More Primeira Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Estrela vs Academico Viseu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Estrela vs Academico Viseu?
On our numbers Estrela have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Academico Viseu 29%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela vs Academico Viseu?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Estrela vs Academico Viseu?
Estrela vs Academico Viseu (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Gomes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.