Value bet: Amiens to win @ 2.50 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmiens to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Valenciennes vs Amiens preview and prediction
The match
Valenciennes host Amiens in the National 1 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stade du Hainaut. Valenciennes are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Amiens sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Valenciennes's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Versailles 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Amiens's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Villefranche 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Amiens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Valenciennes and 1.1 for Amiens. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Amiens to win at 2.50 – 42% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Valenciennes 1–1 Amiens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenciennes34%fair 2.96 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.80
Amiens42%fair 2.35 · @2.50
2.11Expected goals
0.97Valenciennes xG
1.14Amiens xG
56%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.0 – 1.1 Amiens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amiens to win✗
42%
2.35
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amiens / FT Amiens✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.24
–
Form
Valenciennes – last 6
LWLLDD
3 Oct
@ Versailles
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ La Roche VF
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Rouen
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Concarneau
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amiens – last 6
WDWDWW
3 Oct
vs Villefranche
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Orleans
2–0
W
10 Sep
@ Cannes
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Bastia
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Versailles
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Amiens.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Amiens?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Amiens?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Amiens 42%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Amiens?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Amiens?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–1 Amiens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Amiens?
Valenciennes vs Amiens (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
