Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Fleury 91 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Fleury 91 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFleury 91 to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceFleury 91 or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.45
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Bourg-en-bresse 01 take on Fleury 91 on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stade Marcel-Verchere. Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Fleury 91 sit 12th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bourg-en-bresse 01's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Rouen 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fleury 91's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Caen 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Fleury 91 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Fleury 91 3–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Bourg-en-bresse 01 and 1.8 for Fleury 91. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Fleury 91 to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fleury 91 or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Fleury 91. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bourg-en-bresse 0115%fair 6.46 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Fleury 9162%fair 1.62 · @1.95
2.61Expected goals
0.79Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.82Fleury 91 xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.8 – 1.8 Fleury 91 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?
Our pick is Fleury 91 or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?
On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fleury 91 62%.
How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?
Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Fleury 91, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.