Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Versailles or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Versailles to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVersailles to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceVersailles or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.70
Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles preview and prediction
The match
Thionville Lusitanos host Versailles in the National 1 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stadium Plaine. Thionville Lusitanos are 11th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Versailles sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Thionville Lusitanos's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Le Puy Foot 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Versailles's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Valenciennes 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Versailles arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Thionville Lusitanos and 2.0 for Versailles. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Versailles to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Versailles or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thionville Lusitanos 0–1 Versailles. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thionville Lusitanos18%fair 5.60 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Versailles59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
2.94Expected goals
0.99Thionville Lusitanos xG
1.95Versailles xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Thionville Lusitanos 1.0 – 2.0 Versailles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Versailles to win✓
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Versailles or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Versailles ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Versailles / FT Versailles✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.70
–
Form
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
LLDLDD
3 Oct
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs La Roche VF
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Fleury 91
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Rouen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Concarneau
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Versailles – last 6
WWDWLL
3 Oct
vs Valenciennes
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Villefranche
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Quevilly
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Orleans
4–0
W
5 Sep
vs Cannes
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Amiens
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thionville Lusitanos and Versailles.
What is the prediction for Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
Our pick is Versailles or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
On our numbers Thionville Lusitanos have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Versailles 59%.
How many goals will there be in Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
Our predicted score is Thionville Lusitanos 0–1 Versailles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles?
Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
