Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceRouen or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.44
Gobelins vs Rouen preview and prediction
The match
Rouen travel to Stade Charlety in the National 1 on Saturday 17 October (13:45 WAT) to face Gobelins. Gobelins are 9th with 16 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Rouen sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Gobelins's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Concarneau 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rouen's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Bourg-en-bresse 01 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rouen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Gobelins 0–0 Rouen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Gobelins and 1.5 for Rouen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gobelins 15%, draw 25%, Rouen 60%.
Safer route: Rouen or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Rouen to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rouen or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gobelins 0–1 Rouen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gobelins15%fair 6.87 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Rouen60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
2.11Expected goals
0.59Gobelins xG
1.52Rouen xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: Gobelins 0.6 – 1.5 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gobelins vs Rouen?
On our numbers Gobelins have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rouen 60%.
How many goals will there be in Gobelins vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gobelins vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Gobelins 0–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gobelins vs Rouen?
Gobelins vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Charlety.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
