Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✓59% · @1.57
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.24
Rouen vs Aubagne preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Rouen take on Aubagne on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stade Robert Diochon. Rouen are 2nd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Aubagne sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rouen's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Thionville Lusitanos 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aubagne's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Concarneau 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Rouen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Rouen 3–1 Aubagne.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Rouen and 0.6 for Aubagne. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rouen 59%, draw 23%, Aubagne 18%.
Safer route: Rouen or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rouen to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Rouen 1–0 Aubagne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rouen59%fair 1.68 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Aubagne18%fair 5.58 · @5.00
2.00Expected goals
1.41Rouen xG
0.59Aubagne xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.4 – 0.6 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rouen to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Rouen vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Rouen have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aubagne 18%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Aubagne?
Rouen vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
