Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFleury 91 to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos preview and prediction
The match
Thionville Lusitanos travel to Stade Robert Bobin in the National 1 on Saturday 19 September (13:45 WAT) to face Fleury 91. Fleury 91 are 12th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Thionville Lusitanos sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fleury 91's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Valenciennes 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Thionville Lusitanos's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Rouen 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Thionville Lusitanos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Fleury 91 and 1.4 for Thionville Lusitanos. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fleury 91 1–1 Thionville Lusitanos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fleury 9147%fair 2.15 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Thionville Lusitanos31%fair 3.18 · @3.25
3.25Expected goals
1.80Fleury 91 xG
1.45Thionville Lusitanos xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Fleury 91 1.8 – 1.4 Thionville Lusitanos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleury 91 to win✗
47%
2.15
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleury 91 / FT Fleury 91✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Form
Fleury 91 – last 6
WWLLDD
12 Sep
@ Valenciennes
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Villefranche
6–1
W
29 Aug
@ Quevilly
1–2
L
20 Aug
vs Orleans
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Cannes
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Amiens
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Thionville Lusitanos – last 6
LDDWWW
12 Sep
vs Rouen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Concarneau
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Caen
4–3
W
7 Aug
@ Aubagne
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fleury 91 and Thionville Lusitanos.
What is the prediction for Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?
On our numbers Fleury 91 have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Thionville Lusitanos 31%.
How many goals will there be in Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Our predicted score is Fleury 91 1–1 Thionville Lusitanos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Bobin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
