The National 1 sees Concarneau take on Caen on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stade Guy Piriou. Concarneau are 6th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Caen sit 3rd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Concarneau's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Aubagne 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Caen's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Gobelins 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Caen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Concarneau and 1.2 for Caen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Concarneau 38%, draw 24%, Caen 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Concarneau 1–1 Caen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Concarneau38%fair 2.61 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Caen37%fair 2.67 · @2.70
2.50Expected goals
1.26Concarneau xG
1.24Caen xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.3 – 1.2 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✓
38%
2.61
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.67
–
Form
Concarneau – last 6
WDDWDL
12 Sep
@ Aubagne
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Thionville Lusitanos
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Villefranche
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Orleans
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Caen – last 6
WWLWLW
12 Sep
vs Gobelins
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
27 Aug
vs Bastia
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Aubagne
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Thionville Lusitanos
3–4
L
7 Aug
vs Valenciennes
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concarneau and Caen.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Concarneau vs Caen?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Caen 37%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Caen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Caen?
Concarneau vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
