Value bet: Orleans to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmiens to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Amiens vs Orleans preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Amiens take on Orleans on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stade de la Licorne. Amiens are 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Orleans sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Amiens's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Cannes 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Orleans's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Versailles 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Amiens and 0.8 for Orleans. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amiens 44%, draw 23%, Orleans 32%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Orleans to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Amiens 1–0 Orleans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amiens44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Orleans32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
1.83Expected goals
1.02Amiens xG
0.81Orleans xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Amiens 1.0 – 0.8 Orleans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amiens to win✓
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
Amiens – last 6
DWWLLD
10 Sep
@ Cannes
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Bastia
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Versailles
3–0
W
20 Aug
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs La Roche VF
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Fleury 91
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Orleans – last 6
LDLWLW
12 Sep
vs Versailles
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs La Roche VF
0–1
L
20 Aug
@ Fleury 91
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Rouen
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Concarneau
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amiens and Orleans.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Amiens vs Orleans?
On our numbers Amiens have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orleans 32%.
How many goals will there be in Amiens vs Orleans?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amiens vs Orleans?
Our predicted score is Amiens 1–0 Orleans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Amiens vs Orleans?
Amiens vs Orleans (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Licorne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
