La Roche VF vs Valenciennes preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees La Roche VF take on Valenciennes on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stade Henri-Desgranges. La Roche VF are 1st with 27 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Valenciennes sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
La Roche VF's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Villefranche 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valenciennes's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Fleury 91 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
La Roche VF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for La Roche VF and 0.9 for Valenciennes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Roche VF 47%, draw 23%, Valenciennes 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: La Roche VF 1–1 Valenciennes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Roche VF47%fair 2.13 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Valenciennes30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
2.08Expected goals
1.21La Roche VF xG
0.87Valenciennes xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: La Roche VF 1.2 – 0.9 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Roche VF to win✓
47%
2.13
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Roche VF / FT La Roche VF✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
La Roche VF – last 6
DDWDWW
12 Sep
@ Villefranche
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Quevilly
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Orleans
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Cannes
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Amiens
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Versailles
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Valenciennes – last 6
LDDLWL
12 Sep
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Rouen
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Concarneau
0–0
D
20 Aug
@ Gobelins
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Caen
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Roche VF and Valenciennes.
What is the prediction for La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers La Roche VF have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valenciennes 30%.
How many goals will there be in La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is La Roche VF 1–1 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is La Roche VF vs Valenciennes?
La Roche VF vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Henri-Desgranges.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.