Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRecreativo Huelva to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceRecreativo Huelva or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.85
Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Recreativo Huelva take on Xerez on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Nuevo Colombino. Recreativo Huelva are 1st with 21 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Xerez sit 6th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Recreativo Huelva's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Utrera 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Xerez's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Don Benito 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Xerez 1–0 Recreativo Huelva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Recreativo Huelva and 0.5 for Xerez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Safer route: Recreativo Huelva or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Recreativo Huelva to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Recreativo Huelva 1–0 Xerez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Recreativo Huelva64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Xerez12%fair 8.05 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.52Recreativo Huelva xG
0.48Xerez xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Recreativo Huelva 1.5 – 0.5 Xerez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?
Our pick is Recreativo Huelva to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?
On our numbers Recreativo Huelva have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Xerez 12%.
How many goals will there be in Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?
Our predicted score is Recreativo Huelva 1–0 Xerez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?
Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Colombino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
