Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena preview and prediction
The match
Antoniano host Ciudad de Lucena in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Antoniano are 16th with 6 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Ciudad de Lucena sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Antoniano's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Mijas Las Lagunas 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ciudad de Lucena's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Tenerife II 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Antoniano and 1.0 for Ciudad de Lucena. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Antoniano 39%, draw 26%, Ciudad de Lucena 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Antoniano 1–1 Ciudad de Lucena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antoniano39%fair 2.55 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
Ciudad de Lucena35%fair 2.87 · @2.90
2.00Expected goals
1.04Antoniano xG
0.96Ciudad de Lucena xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Antoniano 1.0 – 1.0 Ciudad de Lucena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antoniano to win✗
39%
2.55
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.09
–
Form
Antoniano – last 6
DDLDWD
20 Sep
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Real Betis II
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Don Benito
1–2
L
3 May
@ Real Jaén
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Recreativo Huelva
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
LDDWLW
20 Sep
vs Tenerife II
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Mijas Las Lagunas
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
10 May
vs Dos Hermanas
2–1
W
3 May
@ Cádiz II
0–3
L
12 Apr
@ Sevilla III
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antoniano and Ciudad de Lucena.
What is the prediction for Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
On our numbers Antoniano have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ciudad de Lucena 35%.
How many goals will there be in Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our predicted score is Antoniano 1–1 Ciudad de Lucena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.