Value bet: Sevilla Atletico to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevilla Atletico to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico preview and prediction
The match
Sevilla Atletico travel to face Atlético Central in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 27 September (18:00 WAT). Atlético Central are 9th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Sevilla Atletico sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atlético Central's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Marbella 1–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sevilla Atletico's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Sanluqueño 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Atlético Central and 1.8 for Sevilla Atletico. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Central 30%, draw 24%, Sevilla Atletico 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Sevilla Atletico to win at 2.45 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético Central 1–1 Sevilla Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Central30%fair 3.33 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Sevilla Atletico46%fair 2.17 · @2.45
3.17Expected goals
1.40Atlético Central xG
1.77Sevilla Atletico xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlético Central 1.4 – 1.8 Sevilla Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla Atletico to win✗
46%
2.17
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla Atletico / FT Sevilla Atletico✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Form
Atlético Central – last 6
LLWDWW
20 Sep
@ Marbella
1–4
L
13 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Recreativo Huelva
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Caudal
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Caudal
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Dos Hermanas
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sevilla Atletico – last 6
DWWDWL
20 Sep
vs Sanluqueño
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Marbella
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Tamaraceite
1–0
W
10 May
vs Eldense
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Real Murcia
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Central and Sevilla Atletico.
What is the prediction for Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
On our numbers Atlético Central have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sevilla Atletico 46%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
Our predicted score is Atlético Central 1–1 Sevilla Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico?
Atlético Central vs Sevilla Atletico (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
