Segunda División RFEF Group 4 · SpainPuente Genil vs Marbella prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Puente Genil 1.8 – 1.7 Marbella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Puente Genil and Marbella on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Puente Genil have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Marbella have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.8 for Puente Genil, 1.7 for Marbella). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Puente Genil to win ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Puente Genil / FT Puente Genil ✗ | 24% | 4.21 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.25 | – |
Form
Puente Genil – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Estepona | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Recreativo Huelva | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Mijas Las Lagunas | 4–0 | W |
| 3 May | @ La Unión Atlético | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | vs Málaga II | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | vs Deportiva Minera | 1–1 | D |
Marbella – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Atlético Central | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Sevilla Atletico | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Sanluqueño | 2–2 | D |
| 22 May | vs Teruel | 3–1 | W |
| 10 May | vs Juventud Torremolinos | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Gimnastic | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puente Genil and Marbella.
Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Recreativo Huelva | 10 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 |  Don Benito | 10 | +5 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ciudad de Lucena | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Badajoz | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Real Betis II | 9 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Xerez | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Mijas Las Lagunas | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Estepona | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Atlético Central | 10 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Sevilla Atletico | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Linares Deportivo | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Puente Genil | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sanluqueño | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Tenerife II | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Marbella | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Antoniano | 10 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Tamaraceite | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Las Palmas II | 10 | -13 | 5 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Puente Genil vs Marbella?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Puente Genil vs Marbella?
On our numbers Puente Genil have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Marbella 37%.
How many goals will there be in Puente Genil vs Marbella?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Puente Genil vs Marbella?
Puente Genil vs Marbella (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.