Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ucam Murcia to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUcam Murcia to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceUcam Murcia or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.04
Ucam Murcia vs Cieza preview and prediction
The match
Cieza travel to Estadio de La Condomina in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 25 October (11:30 WAT) to face Ucam Murcia. Ucam Murcia are 2nd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Cieza sit 6th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ucam Murcia's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Alcoyano 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Cieza's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Intercity 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Ucam Murcia and 0.9 for Cieza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Ucam Murcia to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ucam Murcia or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ucam Murcia 1–0 Cieza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ucam Murcia59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.25
Cieza16%fair 6.26 · @4.00
2.69Expected goals
1.83Ucam Murcia xG
0.86Cieza xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ucam Murcia 1.8 – 0.9 Cieza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Ucam Murcia or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Ucam Murcia ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WWLWWL
11 Oct
vs Alcoyano
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Elche II
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cieza – last 6
WWDLWD
11 Oct
vs Intercity
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Orihuela
4–0
W
27 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Castellonense
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Elche II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Alcoyano
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ucam Murcia and Cieza.
Our pick is Ucam Murcia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Cieza?
On our numbers Ucam Murcia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cieza 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ucam Murcia vs Cieza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ucam Murcia vs Cieza?
Our predicted score is Ucam Murcia 1–0 Cieza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ucam Murcia vs Cieza?
Ucam Murcia vs Cieza (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
