Value bet: Elche II to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMallorca II to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Mallorca II vs Elche II preview and prediction
The match
Elche II travel to face Mallorca II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 25 October (13:00 WAT). Mallorca II are 13th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Elche II sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Mallorca II's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Orihuela 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Elche II's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Valencia II 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Mallorca II and 1.2 for Elche II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mallorca II 40%, draw 23%, Elche II 37%.
Value angle: Elche II to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.91, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mallorca II 1–1 Elche II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mallorca II40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Elche II37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
2.44Expected goals
1.25Mallorca II xG
1.19Elche II xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Mallorca II 1.3 – 1.2 Elche II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca II to win✓
40%
2.50
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca II / FT Mallorca II✓
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.16
–
Form
Mallorca II – last 6
LDLLWD
18 Oct
vs Orihuela
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Alcoyano
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ La Nucía
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Real Murcia II
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Deportiva Minera
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Elche II – last 6
WLLWLD
10 Oct
vs Valencia II
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Ucam Murcia
1–5
L
27 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Cieza
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca II and Elche II.
What is the prediction for Mallorca II vs Elche II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Mallorca II vs Elche II?
On our numbers Mallorca II have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Elche II 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca II vs Elche II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca II vs Elche II?
Our predicted score is Mallorca II 1–1 Elche II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mallorca II vs Elche II?
Mallorca II vs Elche II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
